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Daniel

Impossiblity - Burden of proof

Recently I got into a discussion where someone expressed their incredulity regarding the ability of NASA to continue receiving transmissions from the Voyager 1 probe. They said it is ridiculous to think that radio signals from a 20 watt transmitter could be picked up over 13 billion miles.

I pointed out that there is very little interference in space, that both the transmitter and receiver use relatively large antennas and that they are directional, unlike Earth-based radio.

He countered by pointing out that radio on Earth has a limited range, so a 13 billion mile transmission should be impossible. I said that radio on Earth lacks the characteristics I had already pointed out and that transmissions on Earth must travel through more, and more consistently dense atmosphere than signals to or from space.

At that point a third person interjected and said that I was trying to shift the burden of proof onto the first person when the burden of proof was on me since I was defending the claim that the transmissions are really taking place.

At no point in the discussion did I positively claim that NASA is truly still receiving transmissions from Voyager, or even that voyager really exists, I was merely countering the evidence the first person was presenting to show that such transmissions should be impossible, by showing that it can't be compared to Earth-based radio.

My question is: was the third person correct? If someone states that a thing is impossible, is the burden on them to show that it cannot take place, or is the burden on the other side to show that it can?

asked on Saturday, Jan 02, 2021 01:45:12 PM by Daniel

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richard smith writes:

I agree the burden of proof is on him. He made a claim and you question that claim. You never stated that it could or could not.

posted on Sunday, Jan 03, 2021 02:59:56 PM

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Answers

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Bo Bennett, PhD
4

First, have a look at this thread and all the comments. It think you will find your answer in there in great detail: https://www.logicallyfallacious.com/questions/r6pbeKBw/claims_without_evidence.html

Recently I got into a discussion where someone expressed their incredulity regarding the ability of NASA to continue receiving transmissions from the Voyager 1 probe. They said it is ridiculous to think that radio signals from a 20 watt transmitter could be picked up over 13 billion miles. 

If this is how it went down, they have the burden of proof, assuming NASA receiving transmission is common knowledge or a fact. The rest of what transpired is just noise. Especially, if they made the claim AND the claim is one contrary to established knowledge.

answered on Saturday, Jan 02, 2021 02:45:12 PM by Bo Bennett, PhD

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Daniel writes:

I'm not sure if it's relevant that Voyager making these transmissions is commonly accepted as fact, as most who accept it do so without any investigation into the way it is supposed to be achieved. The vast majority of those who believe it to be true would not be aware of the distance involved or the power of the transmitter. It may be that were they aware of these particulars, they would be far less likely to believe in it and it would not be as commonly accepted as true.

Isn’t this partly why an appeal to common knowledge is fallacious – that most people don’t even understand the arguments for and against what it is they believe?

posted on Sunday, Jan 03, 2021 03:23:37 PM
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Bo Bennett, PhD writes:

[To Daniel]

I'm not sure if it's relevant that Voyager making these transmissions is commonly accepted as fact, as most who accept it do so without any investigation into the way it is supposed to be achieved.

I accept that cars work yet I can never explain how they do. In reasonable debate, we accept facts; not argue them. Of course, there are ideas that are disputed and wouldn't fall under "fact." I have no idea if this falls under that category.

I don't list "appeal to common knowledge" as a fallacy, not sure many do. I found this to be a "fallacy" pushed by conspiracy theorists who try to cast doubt on facts and reality.

This shouldn't be confused with appeal to common belief (note the last word).

[ login to reply ] posted on Sunday, Jan 03, 2021 04:13:13 PM
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Daniel writes:
[To Bo Bennett, PhD]

Thank you Bo,

Yes, appeal to common belief is what I meant.

When it comes to cars, we have evidence that they work by using them and even if we don't understand how they work, the fact that they do is a fact of our reality. Voyager is different because none of us have any experience of its operation, or the operation of any deep space probe, we are totally reliant on information from a government institution that Voyager even exists. For this reason, I don't think Voyager falls under the usual definition of fact.

[ login to reply ] posted on Sunday, Jan 03, 2021 04:33:57 PM
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DrBill writes:
[To Daniel]

If you built a simple rfc circuit and provided it with power, you might not know that your 10^-8 mw "noise" was more than a line on your neighbor's tv that they might merely be slightly annoyed about, as it "twitched" their picture.  It is unlikely they would contact the FCC.

The data from 10^7 light years away includes resolvable info about the stars' spectrum. 

So, here we are, and I say they can send/receive info at merely <0.1 LY.  One of us is correct, but without your own knowledge of how the electronics works, you can be misled by the conspiracy theories/theorists. There is a danger, of course, that the Michelson-Morley experiment erred.  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michelson%E2%80%93Morley_experiment. If the data was incorrect outside the measurement limits, there will be many embarrassed physicists.  

Very few have the means to double-check, imo, and it's more likely the doubters are wrong, again imo.

Ultimately, this is an example of demonstrable/falsifiable fact (evidence), not of rhetoric or fallacy.

[ login to reply ] posted on Sunday, Jan 17, 2021 06:02:27 PM
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GoblinCookie writes:

The claim is also being made that NASA is lying.  Established knowledge is irrelevant, that is the appeal to common sense.  You have to prove claims of deceit, you cannot just assume them to be lying because they disprove your wider theory about the limitations of radio transmissions.  'All evidence against my thesis is fabricated because my thesis is true' is not a valid argument. 

posted on Monday, Jan 18, 2021 07:45:26 AM
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Dr. Richard
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Please permit me to restate the problem presented. 

X makes claim NASA continues to receive radio transmissions from Voyager 1.

Y says, “I do not believe it.” So far, there is only one proposition on the table: that NASA receives transmissions. Y does not even dispute the claim. He merely says he does not believe the proposition to be true.

X made the proposition, and X bears the burden of presenting evidence to support the proposition. 

X asks Y, “Why not?” and Y responds that he does not think a 20-watt transmitter could produce a strong enough signal to travel 13 billion miles.

All the rest presented in the problem is a discussion about evidence. The third person is correct: X bears the burden of proof. 

answered on Sunday, Jan 03, 2021 11:15:49 AM by Dr. Richard

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Daniel writes:

The thing is, the conversation did not start with X making that claim, and X never went on to make that claim.

It started with Y making the claim that the transmissions are impossible, backed up first with sheer incredulity and then, when challenged, following up with false a equivalence between Earth radio and space transmissions.

Y's part in the debate was only to counter the evidence presented by X.

 

posted on Sunday, Jan 03, 2021 03:22:30 PM
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Dr. Richard writes:
[To Daniel]

You may be right, but I read it differently. The way I read it is the statement: “Recently I got into a discussion where someone expressed their incredulity” is supposed to be a third party. Then, lower down, we see: “At no point in the discussion did I positively claim that NASA is truly still receiving transmissions from Voyager, or even that voyager really exists,...” Which (to me) says the “someone” in the first part is actually the person making the claim but does not want to make that clear. That is why I restated what I understood was the substance of the problem presented. 

[ login to reply ] posted on Sunday, Jan 03, 2021 04:01:22 PM
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Daniel writes:

Ok, thanks, I probably didn't explain it clearly enough in the first place.

posted on Sunday, Jan 03, 2021 04:08:21 PM