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Part one is about how science works even when the public thinks it doesn't. Part two will certainly ruffle some feathers by offering a reason- and science-based perspective on issues where political correctness has gone awry. Part three provides some data-driven advice for your health and well-being. Part four looks at human behavior and how we can better navigate our social worlds. In part five we put on our skeptical goggles and critically examine a few commonly-held beliefs. In the final section, we look at a few ways how we all can make the world a better place.
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I think the answer to this would take at least one text book :) I will say that one foundational element is the ability to recognize bias and account for them. This includes motivated reasoning and indoctrination . Another foundational element is susceptibility to influence . Unfortunately for many, this is largely innate and not easily controlled. |
answered on Monday, Aug 01, 2022 09:01:19 AM by Bo Bennett, PhD | |
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Part 1
I think an overriding understanding that the nature of reality is such that if an hypothesis is correct every single piece of evidence will ultimately at least support if not favour it over any other is an important phenomenon to keep in mind.
People's tendencies to lapse into logically fallacious thinking described by the fallacies above is perfectly understood by those in power and they weaponise those tendencies against us. 1. Simply not review their thinking at all or make any move to go out of their way to check that it's correct 2. Cherry-pick - they throw up a possible alternative explanation without considering whether this possible alternative is a better alternative or debunks the challenge. If it doesn't debunk the challenge it has no value. When your belief is challenged you need to do a considered review of all the reasons you hold your belief and whether the reasons put forward for the belief that challenges yours are superior, not just grab at a possible alternative explanation for a particular item. I state with utter conviction that the evidence clearly shows that 9/11 was, in reality, a glorified anti-terrorist exercise and astronauts did indeed land – an astonishing accomplishment for its time – on the moon. If I’m wrong, I’m wrong and who cares but if I’m right what does that say about the vast majority’s ability to think critically because as far as I know there’s hardly anyone else who accepts these two statements as facts, including my identical twin – she accepts the first but not the second. There’s a very small percentage of people who accept the first claim as a fact but virtually none of those people accept the second and while obviously a majority of people accept the second claim as true virtually none of them accept the first. If I’m right and the vast majority has only got one fact of the two right what is it about my thinking that’s so different? All I do is follow the two rules above. Why does virtually no one else? |
answered on Monday, Aug 01, 2022 11:48:58 PM by Petra Liverani | |
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Perhaps the fundamentals of critical thinking are foundational for solving things (including decisions). For example, in solving a math problem, a critical thinker might want to recall theorems, algebra tricks, and so on, to sort of see where that leads. Ex1: A particle moves according to the function f(t) on an interval [t1, t2], f(t) is the height in meters. Find out when the particle attains its maximum height. The critical thinker might remember a step-by-step process to solve this and recognized that continuous functions attain their max on closed intervals. But there's another question: is the function differentiable? Of course, we need an explicit formula to answer that, but suppose that it is. Then we may perform what is called the closed-interval method by finding critical values and test all cases. There's another question: does f'(t)=0 have finite solutions, if any. And so on. There are more techniques, like going by cases: Ex: Find the solution set for |x-1| < 10. There's also mathematical induction. Ex: Prove Gauss formula There's also design in computer programming. I particularly love programming. It's very soothing. There's planning and testing (not a professional but I read about it). You also have the divide-and-conquer strategy in which a whole scheme of planning comes up: decomposition outline or functional decomposition, i.e., abstraction (at least how I understand it). Philosophy is interesting. We could compare and contrast epistemology with ethics. The commonality, however, is the structured approach to argumentation. Some of the books that I've read, they use this premise-to-conclusion list, a format that I follow when I comment on this website. Ethics could be divided into normative ethics and meta-ethics. Perhaps there's more. A bunch of counter-examples come up to critique theories. Epistemology, well, I don't know much about this one, but you have the classical account for knowledge, Gettier's cases as a critique to the classical account for justification and many more. What am I getting at? I believe that critical thinking is interdisciplinary. You have all kinds of techniques that you can learn depending on the field. I guess the aim would be to be as successful as possible in those fields and with that said, this reminds me of epistemology. The kind of knowledge that epistemology in interested in is propositional, the kind of knowledge that aims at the truth. Perhaps your question is epistemological in nature. One last example: this website is super fun because I like classifying things. Doing that with faulty logic is really cool. I want to add that I do this with respect and love for my neighbor. I do not want to use fallacy knowledge for making someone else feel bad. I think that mentioning "this is a fallacy" kind of puts people on the defense. I guess it's fine but everything with love and respect. When do I follow these rules? when I need them. I guess I'll also add "small talk" into the fundamentals of critical thinking. Yes, small talk. It is really hard and takes social skills to do it, I believe. We can also put jokes and getting along with people into the mix. Why not? Delivering speeches, teaching, writing, statistical decisions. There's all these things that can be added. Do I always follow the. Nope. That would be too demanding. Then I guess I'll change my answer. The fundamentals of critical thinking are 1. setting a goal, 2. search for the skills that will aid you in obtaining that goal, and 3. learn those skills in the right sort of way. |
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answered on Wednesday, Aug 03, 2022 12:07:19 AM by Jorge | ||||
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Part 2 In addition to the two rules mentioned in Part 1, the two guideposts below should always be borne in mind. 1. Every relevant piece of information will at least support if not favour the correct hypothesis 2. Internal consistency and consistency with expectations Tiny but telling Imagine opposing hypotheses as opposing kerbs of a road where information on one side of the centre line seems to favour one hypothesis while that on the other side seems to favour the opposing hypothesis. Of course, only one hypothesis can be correct (if either of them are) so all the information must really exist only on one side of the centre line, assuming one of the hypotheses is correct. To my mind, the information that’s really most important regardless of its seeming size and significance is that which hugs the kerb, the information that is the most difficult to push over the centre line to the other side. A large, seemingly compelling piece of evidence might actually prove to be easy to push over the centre line when it is understood properly (for example, the alleged loved ones of people who've allegedly died in an event can easily be actors) while a tiny, seemingly insignificant piece of evidence might hug the kerb very tightly unable to be pushed away and if indeed this tiny piece of evidence cannot be dislodged from the kerb and cannot make its way over the centre line then in the absence of evidence to the contrary, this tiny piece of evidence essentially acts as proof of the correct hypothesis. Let’s consider small but telling pieces of evidence for the moon landings and 9/11: The moon landings – subtlety so utterly consistent with expectations
These barely detectable elements seen in the moon landing images hug the “we went” hypothesis as tightly as can be – they fit like a glove and – in the absence of evidence to the contrary - on their own they virtually prove the moon landings. Why on earth would images be faked in such a manner? Who would even think of such a thing? If the moon landings were a psychological operation (psyop) as 9/11 was then they were a psyop like no other because an element of psyop fakery is deliberate sloppiness and this level of subtlety is completely alien to psyop fakery and would not be expected even in fakery designed to simulate reality in as dedicated a way as possible. And, of course, these subtle indications are exactly what are expected according to the lunar conditions and the thrust of the lunar module when it landed. We see perfect internal consistency and consistency with expectations from every angle. 9/11 – journalists “scripted” rather than “speaking candidly” On the day of 9/11 (or at least it seems as though they were done on that day) there are recordings of reporters alluding to controlled demolition when speaking about the collapse of WTC-7, the third building to come down on 9/11 at the World Trade Centre. I quote four below: Vince DeMentri, WCBS reporter Al Jones, 1010 WINS reporter Dan Rather, CBS News Anchor Exchange between Brian Williams, MSNBC News Anchor and David Restuccio, FDNY EMS Lieutenant “Yes, sir.” “And you guys knew this was comin’ all day.” “We had heard reports that the building was unstable and that eventually it would either come down on its own or it would be taken down.” 9/11 researchers who use these allusions in their argument for cause of destruction of WTC-7 being controlled demolition assume that the reporters are speaking candidly, however, the “speaking candidly” hypothesis doesn’t fit the bare “inside job” hypothesis (or the terrorist narrative) at all well while “scripted” perfectly fits the hypothesis that:
How the allusions fit “scripted” better than “speaking candidly”. It is pretty much impossible to explain how Brian Williams’ use of a demolition-industry term in relation to WTC-7’s collapse on the afternoon of 9/11 fits the “speaking candidly” hypothesis:
On the other hand, “scripted” fits the hypothesis perfectly: While a journalist as an individual wouldn’t choose to say something so incriminating those in power have – with very good reason – complete confidence in the Emperor’s New Clothes effect. They know that all these surprising allusions will be waved away and explained away later by the majority of people if they’re even aware of them. They also know that those who recognise 9/11 as an inside job generally find it too counterintuitive to think that the perps would deliberately incriminate themselves in this manner and that's where the disbelievers of the 9/11 narrative display a lack of understanding of the complete confidence the perps have in the Emperor's New Clothes effect - it obviously has limitless elasticity because the 9/11 narrative is preposterous from start to finish and does not meet expectations of reality in any shape or form: |
answered on Wednesday, Aug 03, 2022 10:11:20 PM by Petra Liverani | |
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