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87blue

What fallacy is this?

From this link:

Three 2nd graders are facing disciplinary action after they were reportedly involved in “inappropriate behavior of a sexual nature” at Hodges Manor Elementary last week. An accident of this nature has happened in this school a month before. 

All coincidence of course. There's no way this is tied into all the disgusting indoctrination we've seen posted here.

Gee, they put books in the library that show kids how to give blowjobs and they start giving each other blowjobs - what an interesting coincidence. 

 

Yes because this never happened in schools long before this "indoctrination" right? How often is this happening though really?
asked on Friday, Apr 14, 2023 12:12:29 PM by 87blue

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Answers

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Bo Bennett, PhD
1

Perhaps we could make the argument as follows:

P1. There were two incidents of a sexual nature in the last month.

P2. There is a book in the library that illustrates the sexual behavior the children were disciplined for.

C. Therefore, the book is cause of the behavior.

Without any other details, this would be an insignificant cause . If we wanted to know if the conclusion was justified, one would think we would need to look at past incidents before the book was available, and this might shed light only if there is a regular history of this behavior. However, given the small number of incidents (sample size), we probably still wouldn't have enough to reject or accept the conclusion. The only way to know for sure is to ask the students involved if they have read this book in question. If the answer is yes, I would feel that the conclusion can be justified. If no, the conclusion clearly would not be justified.
answered on Friday, Apr 14, 2023 12:33:10 PM by Bo Bennett, PhD

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87blue writes:

The people promoting this idea seem to see it everywhere. For example:

Assistant Principal Kerry Thornton and guidance counselor Kimberly Walby contacted the middle school's resource officer on March 24 to file an incident report regarding a teacher allegedly expressing thoughts about suicidal ideation and possibly shooting students.

The report, obtained by Moms for Liberty's Hernando County chapter, stated that Alexander Renczkowski, a biologically male teacher who identifies as female and goes by the name Ashlee, had confessed to having "bad thoughts" but denied threatening to harm students. According to the report, the teacher stated that "she does not want to harm herself."

Authorities then confiscated three firearms and ammunition from Renczkowski's home, the report noted. After conducting a threat assessment, Hernando County School District's mental health coordinator, Sandra Hurst, found that the teacher did not meet the criteria to be involuntarily institutionalized for mental illness under Florida's Baker Act law, the report added.

Off course they link to the report, which says:

 

"My investigation reveled that Ashlee made the statements out of frustration and does not intend to hurt herself and others"

It's clear that they cherry pick. 

posted on Monday, Apr 17, 2023 01:30:20 AM