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Lars C

Consensus among historians about the existence of Jesus - authority fallacy?

Many times we've heard arguments that say Jesus existed because there's a consensus among historians that he did exist. Is there any logical fallacies in this reasoning? Appeal to authority? Appeal to consensus?

I would argue that a consensus in and of it self is not evidence, nor good enough as an argument to justify belief in the existence of Jesus. I think it's more important to appeal to the evidence if there is any, and if there is strong evidence.

Historians are experts on history, and the consensus of historians on a particular issue would definitely carry some weight, but "Experts agree, therefore Jesus existed"?.... I don't think that's enough. I think we need to point to the evidence if there is any, not just on agreement.


asked on Tuesday, Apr 13, 2021 12:47:27 PM by Lars C

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mchasewalker writes:

The ultimate irony of modern scholarly consensus historical opinion is that they fail to realize that Jesus’s own contemporary historians had no idea WTF he was  or that he even existed. It took some two, three hundred years, a zealous emperor, and some servile religious fanatics to piece together one of the most ludicrous and laughable theological constructions of humankind:

That, somehow, the Supreme Creator of the Universe, arguably, the greatest theoretical physicist who ever existed came up with a “special” plan to rape a mortal woman, give birth to himself and contrive to have himself mercilously slaughtered at the hands of barbarians to save His own creation from a 6,000 year-old curse he levied upon them.

Good luck with that, and go peddle your horseshit elsewhere. 

posted on Wednesday, Apr 14, 2021 11:24:47 PM

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Answers

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Bo Bennett, PhD
5

Jesus existed because there's a consensus among historians that he did exist.

Yes, this is a clear appeal to authority . However, if we soften the claim to

There's a consensus among historians, both religious and secular, that the Jesus figure probably did exist, so it is reasonable to accept that he probably did exist.

Then no fallacy. In the latter example, we are simply accepting a claim probabilistically based on a consensus of experts (historians) rather than claiming a fact to be true or false.

Because we have secular historians mostly agreeing that Jesus did exist (I think this is the case but not sure) then we can rule out the consensus being formed based on faith or wishful thinking (if Jesus didn't really exist, Christianity falls apart). Without that secular consensus, we would need to be far more skeptical.

answered on Tuesday, Apr 13, 2021 01:24:54 PM by Bo Bennett, PhD

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Lars C writes:

One important question I think is "which Jesus existed?"

We need to spell it out. Did there ever exist a person that was divine and had supernatural powers, that rose from dead etc. as described in the Bible?

I think the probability is very low that this is the case. And I don't think the consensus revolves around the existence of a divine person. I think it's reasonable to consider such a person as mythological.

If there was a preacher named Jesus I think he most probably was not divine, just a normal human being without supernatural powers. But I'm not sure if such a person ever existed, I would need good evidence and arguments, not a consensus. Evidence and good arguments should in my opinion hold more weight than consensus.

posted on Tuesday, Apr 13, 2021 02:00:35 PM
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Bo Bennett, PhD writes:
[To Lars C]

And I don't think the consensus revolves around the existence of a divine person. I think it's reasonable to consider such a person as mythological. 

This is an issue I've always had with the "Jesus Myth" debate. At what point do we say a person did not exist? For example, in 100 years, if someone claimed that I walked on water, does that mean that that Bo never existed? Does anyone really exist in that sense since we all have somewhat skewed perceptions of everyone? Heavy stuff :) Even Bart Ehrman doesn't clearly address this in his books and courses (that I know of or can recall). He believes the Jesus figure existed in some sense but also rejects the supernatural claims about him, which one could argue that the supernatural Jesus and the man Jesus would be so different that it would be reasonable to claim Jesus (the supernatual Jesus from the Bible) did not exist. Given all this, one person can believe that Jesus did exist and one can believe that he didn't exist, yet both people would believe the same things.

[ login to reply ] posted on Tuesday, Apr 13, 2021 04:22:20 PM
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Lars C writes:
[To Bo Bennett, PhD]

"if someone claimed that I walked on water, does that mean that that Bo never existed?"

No, that doesn't mean you never existed, but that person's claim would be false.

I'd like to ask like this: "has there ever existed a divine man by the name of Jesus Christ who was a part of a divine trinity, that could walk on water, turn water to wine, resurrect from the dead, cast out demons, heal the sick and blind, fly up in the air..."

I'd say no.

[ login to reply ] posted on Wednesday, Apr 14, 2021 02:33:47 PM
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mchasewalker writes:

[To Bo Bennett, PhD]

The other side to the Jesus Myth argument you make is if the preponderance of biographical statistics described in that person's hagiography e.g. birth date, death, name, likeness, parentage, birthplace, geographical details, etc. have proven to be contrived, assigned, interpolated, falsified, forged, and revised with little to no alternative legitimate sources for support, it is much more probable that you are dealing with a fictional character than an historical one.

Lord Raglan and Otto Rank devised a scale for measuring such mythological personages known as the Rank Raglan scale, for which Jesus wins a whopping 18 out of 22 points.

1. Hero's mother is a royal virgin;
2. His father is a king, and
3. Often a near relative of his mother, but
4. The circumstances of his conception are unusual, and
5. He is also reputed to be the son of a god.
6. At birth an attempt is made, usually by his father or his maternal grand father to kill him, but
7. he is spirited away, and
8. Reared by foster -parents in a far country.
9. We are told nothing of his childhood, but
10. On reaching manhood he returns or goes to his future Kingdom.
11. After a victory over the king and/or a giant, dragon, or wild beast,
12. He marries a princess, often the daughter of his predecessor and
13. And becomes king.
14. For a time he reigns uneventfully and
15. Prescribes laws, but
16. Later he loses favor with the gods and/or his subjects, and
17. Is driven from the throne and city, after which
18. He meets with a mysterious death,
19. Often at the top of a hill,
20. His children, if any do not succeed him.
21. His body is not buried, but nevertheless
22. He has one or more holy sepulchers.

Mithradates VI of Pontus(22) / Krishna(21) / Moses(20) / Romulus(19) / King Arthur(19) / Perseus(18) / Jesus(18) / Watu Gunung of Java(18) / Heracles(17) Mohammad(17) / Beowulf(15) / Buddha (15) / Czar Nicholas II (14) / Zeus(14) / Nyikang, a cult-hero of the Shiluk tribe of the Upper Nile(14) / Samson(13) / Sunjata, the Lion-King of Ancient Mali(11) / Achilles(10) / Odysseus(8) / Harry Potter(8)

[ login to reply ] posted on Wednesday, Apr 14, 2021 02:36:21 PM
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Jordan Pine writes:

[To mchasewalker]

Lord Raglan and Otto Rank devised a scale for measuring such mythological personages known as the Rank Raglan scale, for which Jesus wins a whopping 18 out of 22 points.

LOL. I devised a scale for measuring BS, for which this gets a whopping 22 out of 22.

Francis Utley cleverly demonstrated how silly this is by applying the criteria to other historical figures. Abraham Lincoln fits all of the 22 points, so apparently he is a myth. Ditto John F. Kennedy, Winston Churchill, Napoleon and William Wallace.

Damn! I so wanted to believe Braveheart was a true story. Freedooooom!

[ login to reply ] posted on Wednesday, Apr 14, 2021 04:50:38 PM
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richard smith writes:
[To Lars C]

I would say those are too separate question.

Did Jesus exist? If Jesus exist was he supernatural?

Their is no fallacy in accepting the opinions of experts. We do this all the time especially with history.

 

[ login to reply ] posted on Wednesday, Apr 14, 2021 11:39:10 AM
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Lars C writes:
[To richard smith]

The Jesus we can read about in the gospels is supernatural, or portrayed as it.

Yes, there's no fallacy in accepting the opinions, or arguments of experts, but they still have to make their arguments and present evidence. "Expert X thinks Y is true, ok that settles it, then it must be true."

[ login to reply ] posted on Wednesday, Apr 14, 2021 02:27:00 PM
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Shockwave writes:

You are right, but I would note that we need to be careful not to make the fallacy of poisoning the well .
I'm not saying that you made that fallacy in your answer, but if someone reads the answer, their opinion can very easily turn into this fallacy.
If the evidence for the existence of Jesus (Jesus of Nazareth) is good, if the reliable sources and the scientific method really indicate it, and we are able to be convinced of that, then the claim should be accepted even if it is made by non-secular historians.

posted on Tuesday, Apr 13, 2021 06:32:43 PM
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Bo Bennett, PhD writes:
[To Shockwave]

If the evidence for the existence of Jesus (Jesus of Nazareth) is good,...

If we are looking at the evidence, and not experts telling us how they interpret the evidence, then it is very different. If we are only going by consensus (it is a reasonable heuristic to generally trust expert consensus) without becoming an expert ourselves, enough to evaluate the evidence and understand it, then the biases and motivations of the experts should be considered.

[ login to reply ] posted on Tuesday, Apr 13, 2021 09:16:42 PM
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Bo Bennett, PhD
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No, because the historians cite to outside proof for the proposition Jesus was real.  It is only a fallacy of consensus if it is just opinion.

answered on Thursday, Apr 15, 2021 10:19:51 AM by Bo Bennett, PhD

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Jordan Pine
1

This is a great question. I have argued elsewhere that there is no such thing as consensus in science and that arguments strongly asserting the so-called "scientific consensus" on a particular issue often amount to the appeal to authority you have cited. (Interesting side note: In the Latin version of this fallacy, the word verecundiam has the sense of shame, as in shaming people into submission by citing experts!)

I hadn't thought about this with regard to history or other "softer" disciplines. Consensus may not be scientific, but is it historical? If it's true that "history is written by the victors," shouldn't we also be suspicious of consensus in this area? I think so. 

With regard to Jesus, Christian apologists are fond of pointing out that there is more historical evidence for the existence of Jesus than for the existence of Julius Caesar. I'm not sure if that is true, but it strikes me as an interesting way to interrogate the "consensus among historians" idea. On the one hand, we have to be careful about favoring expert beliefs over evidence. On the other hand, we also have to be careful about moving the goalposts in the sense of demanding more evidence than is usually required to prove an historic figure existed.

In any case, I would formulate an argument in favor of the existence of Jesus like so:

  • There are detailed, firsthand accounts of the existence of Jesus in the New Testament.
  • There are also several accounts of the existence of Jesus outside of the New Testament (e.g. in the writings of the first-century Jewish historian Josephus) that corroborate those accounts.
  • Therefore, Jesus existed.
answered on Wednesday, Apr 14, 2021 06:34:13 PM by Jordan Pine

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mchasewalker writes:

I'm going to break my personal rule for punching down because I cannot allow this kind of deceptive nonsense to go on unaddressed:

1.) There are detailed, firsthand accounts of the existence of Jesus in the New Testament. (False)

I n his recent book, Did Jesus Exist,  Jesus historicist, Bart Ehrman forcefully declares that the gospels "were not written by eyewitnesses or by people who knew eyewitnesses" and that "in the entire first Christian century, Jesus is not mentioned by a single Greek or Roman historian, religion scholar, politician, philosopher or poet." 

2.) There are also several accounts of the existence of Jesus outside of the New Testament (e.g. in the writings of the first-century Jewish historian Josephus) that corroborate those accounts. (False)

The dubious reference to Jesus by Josephus in Book XVIII of the Antiquities of the Jews the Testimonium is as follows:

About this time there lived Jesus, a wise man, if indeed one ought to call him a man.  For he was one who performed surprising deeds and was a teacher of such people as accept the truth gladly. He won over many Jews and many of the Greeks. He was the Messiah. And when, upon the accusation of the principal men among us, Pilate had condemned him to a cross, those who had first come to love him did not cease.  He appeared to them spending a third day restored to life, for the prophets of God had foretold these things and a thousand other marvels about him.  And the tribe of the Christians, so-called after him, has still to this day not disappeared. 

Needless to say, this obvious forgery has been thoroughly debunked and attributed to the fanatic apologist Eusebius who openly confessed his willingness to forge and deceive in his zeal to authenticate the historicity of Jesus. So much so that R. M. Grant wrote:

In ancient and modern times Eusebius of Caesarea has found severe critics of his historical reliability, but there is a question whether or not these critics have gone as far as they should go. It seems highly probable that under the influence of his apologetic purposes Eusebius suppressed, neglected, or falsified a good deal of the information available to him. “Eusebius and his Church History”  in Understanding the sacred text (Valley Forge: Judson, 1972), 235.

It should also be noted that it is extremely improbable that Josephus would compose such a passage since he openly attested that Vespasian was the predicted Messiah of the Jews. And for which Vespasian rewarded him greatly.

Therefore, Jesus existed.  (meh, not so much)

 

posted on Thursday, Apr 15, 2021 12:57:51 PM
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Jordan Pine writes:

[To mchasewalker]

I'm going to break my personal rule ... 

Oh no, guys! He’s breaking his personal rule! Now I've gone and done it.

... for punching down ...

Wow. How do you fit your head through the door?

I cannot allow this kind of deceptive nonsense to go on unaddressed

Imperious and skilled in a priori reasoning. Quite the combo.

 In his recent book, Did Jesus Exist,  Jesus historicist, Bart Ehrman forcefully declares


This is an ad novitatem and an ad verecundiam rolled into one. An esteemed scholar forcefully declared something in a new book? Well then, let’s throw out all the old scholarship! What other scholars think must be false. I always wondered what the inverse of an argumentum ad numerum would sound like. Now I know.

The dubious reference to Jesus by Josephus in Book XVIII of the Antiquities of the Jews the Testimonium ... [is an] obvious forgery [that] has been thoroughly debunked

Except it isn't at all obvious to "the majority of scholars ... [who] hold that it contains an authentic nucleus referencing the execution of Jesus by Pilate," per Wikipedia. Also: "Modern scholarship has largely acknowledged the authenticity of the second reference to Jesus in the Antiquities."
 
But I guess those scholars don't matter. I mean, if R. M. Grant says it seems highly probable that Eusebius of Caesarea falsified stuff, and some other scholar (left unnamed) attributes Antiquities of the Jews to Eusebius, then who are we to question that?

But wait: Grant's book was published in 1972, so I suppose if there is a newer book by an esteemed scholar that disagrees with him, we'll have to ignore his old opinions and go with that instead.

Sorry, I had to break my personal rule against using sarcasm in debates. See what you did!

[ login to reply ] posted on Thursday, Apr 15, 2021 07:59:54 PM
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mchasewalker writes:

No, my personal rules are:

1.) Never wrestle with pigs:

a.) You just get dirty.

b.) The pig likes it.

2.) Never play Chess with pigeons.

a.) They just knock over the Chess pieces

b.) And crap all over the Chess board.

3.) Don’t bother arguing with ignorant religionists.

a.) See all of the above

 

 

 

 

 

posted on Thursday, Apr 15, 2021 08:35:04 PM
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Jordan Pine writes:

[To mchasewalker]

Jesus said it better: "Do not give what is holy to dogs, and do not throw your pearls before pigs." (Matthew 7:6)

If you agree, then QED!

[ login to reply ] posted on Friday, Apr 16, 2021 11:37:18 AM
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Baja Jim writes:
[To mchasewalker]

Is there a logical fallacy when one opponent in a debate stops addressing the issue in favor of calling 

his opponent names?

[ login to reply ] posted on Friday, Apr 16, 2021 12:11:04 PM
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Zakari writes:
[To Baja Jim]

ad hominem abusive

[ login to reply ] posted on Saturday, Apr 17, 2021 08:57:40 AM
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Shockwave
1

Yes, you are right, any consensus is not proof in itself. However, the evidence in various sciences (even in history) is often very complex, and can be vague to those who do not have sufficient knowledge of terminology and other facts that have already been accepted. That is why, often, instead of presenting evidence, they simply invoke scientific consensus.
Although this is not 100% logically justified, limited by our own mental capacities (memory, reasoning ...) we turn to sticking to only "reliable" sources.
Like science, we are sometimes forced to use induction and analogy, which unfortunately deviates from the ideal logical deduction.

answered on Tuesday, Apr 13, 2021 06:47:03 PM by Shockwave

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mchasewalker
1

You make a perfectly valid argument. I would clarify it by simply saying that consensus historians lean toward the probability of Jesus’s historicity, whereas mythicists lean toward his mythological origins. 

Over the last 2,000 years most of the speculations about Jesus were written, forged, interpolated, and revised by men and women who believed Jesus Christ was their divine savior. So, it’s not exactly bereft of confirmation bias. More dangerously, for a lengthy part of that time you could be tortured and executed for suggesting otherwise. That tends to be somewhat persuasive as an argument.

Thankfully, in the information age the consensus is rapidly changing to a more balanced view, and some historians are giving it an extremely generous range between 6% -30% chance of probability.

After exhaustive research on the subject I favor the mythicist consensus. Either way, Dr. Robert Price sums it up most succinctly:

 ‘Even if there was a historical Jesus lying back of the gospel Christ, he can never be recovered. If there ever was a historical Jesus, there isn’t one any more. All attempts to recover him turn out to be just modern remythologizings of Jesus. Every “historical Jesus” is a Christ of faith, of somebody's faith. So the “historical Jesus” of modern scholarship is no less a fiction.’

 

answered on Tuesday, Apr 13, 2021 01:14:09 PM by mchasewalker

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Jordan Pine writes:

it’s not exactly bereft of confirmation bias.

Speaking of confirmation bias:

“Price is a professor of biblical criticism ... He is a religious skeptic, especially of orthodox Christian beliefs, occasionally describing himself as a Christian atheist.”

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_M._Price

An avowed critic’s views of Jesus are no less biased than an avowed follower’s views.

Thankfully, in the information age the consensus is rapidly changing to a more balanced view.

This is an argumentum ad novitatem. It is also illogical to conclude that accounts of historical events would become better as time goes on since we get further away from the events.

posted on Wednesday, Apr 14, 2021 06:56:29 PM
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GoblinCookie
-2

You have to prove forgery, not prove that something isn't a forgery.  You have to prove that Jesus was forged, not the reverse that he was not forged.  The appeal to authority in this case is a 'defensive' one, which I think is actually a valid exception.  'I don't believe you can actually prove your case because if you were right the actual authorities would not have a consensus against you', as opposed to 'X authorities agree that Jesus is forged therefore he is'. 

answered on Wednesday, Apr 14, 2021 02:13:24 PM by GoblinCookie

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