When a decision is made prior to a disaster

This is an example of the confirmation bias, when we ignore the misses but remember the hits. This is primarily responsible for our feelings of prescience. Why wouldn't we feel like we can see the future when we conveniently ignore or forget all the times our predictions were wrong and only focus on the times we were right, which are often statistically probable?

Let's put this argument form:

I didn't want to get on the boat because I "knew" something bad would happen.
Something bad happened.
Therefore, I can predict the future.

Generally, this is a Non Sequitur because the conclusion does not follow. More specifically, this can fit under Jumping to Conclusions.